although it is still too early to draw conclusions about the White House race because many key battlefield states have not yet determined the outcome, there are clear fund flows in various fields such as the government bond market and gambling websites, indicating that Trump is not far from victory. The yield on 10-year US government bonds has risen by nearly 20 basis points, while the yield on similar Australian bonds has risen by nearly 12 basis points. The US dollar has strengthened and the stock market has generally risen. Craig Vardy, head of fixed income at BlackRock, said that the interest rate market is "bear steepening", which is the trend under the expectation of Trump's victory.

on November 5th local time, Pennsylvania Secretary of State Al Schmidt stated that due to "software malfunctions," earlier that day, Cumberland County was manually counting votes that could not be scanned in the polling district, which may "take some time." It is reported that manual vote counting is usually completed by "two party teams working together." Schmidt stated that the entire process will be open for observation by candidates and authorized representatives.

famous election prophet - "Election Prediction Pointer" of The New York Times - latest display shows that based on the data at 10:30 pm local time, it is expected that Donald Trump has an 84% chance of winning and will receive approximately 295 electoral votes.

On November 20th, according to The Information, Musk participated in a phone call between Trump and Google CEO.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, a whale transferred 8,825 ETH ($24 million) into Binance 8 hours ago, incurring a loss of $3.96 million (-14%).The 8,825 ETH was bought at an average price of $3,168 between 7/28-8/4 and sold at a price of $2,719, resulting in a loss of $3.96 million (-14%). The buyer purchased in increments during a dip before the market crashed on 8/5, missing out on the crash and resulting in the loss instead of profit.

On November 20th, the market's attention was focused on the situation between Russia and Ukraine. On the 1000th day of the conflict, Russia's new policy lowered the threshold for using nuclear weapons, causing global financial markets to be tense, but the overall reaction was limited.

according to @ai_9684xtpa monitoring, a certain whale 0xf85 recharged 100 WBTC (worth 9.22 million US dollars) to Binance after Bitcoin hit a new high in the early morning, suspected of selling.

According to Pai Shield monitoring, the FTX cold wallet address labeled Cold Storage #2 has transferred 240,200 mSOL (approximately $46.3 million) to Coinbase Prime.

Atome Financial, a Southeast Asian digital financial services provider, has secured a syndicated loan financing worth as much as $200 million. HSBC, DBS Bank, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation Singapore Branch, and Baiduri Bank in Brunei all supported this financing plan. The loan was led by HSBC's ASEAN Growth Fund and aims to support Atome Financial's loan services and the expansion of its Atome card in Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines.

On November 20th, it was announced that virtual asset custody platform Haru Invest was officially declared bankrupt by the Seoul Bankruptcy Court for allegedly deceiving customers and taking away virtual assets worth about 1.4 trillion Korean won, suddenly stopping withdrawals. Haru Management Limited, the operating company of Haru Invest, had previously been applied for bankruptcy due to inability to pay debts. The court stated that although the company was registered in the British Virgin Islands, it has an office and operates in Korea, and therefore the Korean court has jurisdiction over this case.

Ledn co-founder Mauricio di Bartolomeo stated that the possibility of the United States establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve has increased after a state in the US proposed a strategic Bitcoin reserve bill. Last week, shortly after the introduction of the "Pennsylvania Bitcoin Reserve Bill," the price of Bitcoin rose. The bill aims to allow the state to invest 10% of certain funds, including ordinary funds, rainy day funds, and national investment funds, in Bitcoin. According to the state's 2023 Department of Finance annual investment report, these funds collectively manage assets worth approximately $51 billion, so a 10% allocation would represent approximately $5.1 billion in Bitcoin investment.

Lookonchain monitoring shows that the smart whale who previously made a profit of $4.84 million on POPCAT is now buying BONK. In the past two days, he has spent 3.4 million USDC to purchase 65.4 billion BONK.

Yuga.eth, a senior software engineer at Coinbase, said that the Coinbase developer platform is developing a new API that aims to empower AI agents with various cryptocurrency-related functions, such as supporting the introduction of US dollars onto the chain, creating MPC wallets, sending USDC for free, achieving instant settlement on Base, and interacting with smart contracts (message signing).

according to the official announcement, Upbit has added BTC and USDT trading pairs for JasmyCoin (JASMY) and PolySwarm (NCT).

On November 20th, Blowfish, a well-known encryption security platform, announced that it has been acquired by self-hosted wallet Phantom. The aim is to integrate Blowfish's advanced security technology and further enhance the security features of the Phantom wallet. The Blowfish team will join Phantom to jointly develop more powerful security features, including transaction simulation previews and real-time fraud alerts. As the integration progresses, Blowfish's existing services will gradually be closed, and Phantom users will enjoy support for higher security standards. Since its establishment, Blowfish has provided services to more than 40 wallet partners, including Phantom, Kraken, MetaMask, Brave, etc., protecting over $18 billion in user assets and successfully preventing 2.8 million fraud cases.

Elon Musk posted on X stating: "Just want to reiterate, this platform is indeed designed to support all viewpoints within the legal scope of each country, even those I strongly disagree with and personally dislike. If X is not doing this, please yell at me (preferably on the X platform)."

reported by The New York Times, the atmosphere at the Trump campaign party at the Palm Beach Convention Center has clearly changed in the past few minutes. As Trump's prospects have become brighter, Republicans have become increasingly noisy.

according to The Data Nerd, 14 hours ago, a wallet with the address 0x439 (possibly belonging to the MEME team) deposited 1.035 billion MEME tokens (equivalent to approximately 11.06 million US dollars) into Binance. This wallet received these tokens from a multi-signature wallet 11 months ago.

On November 5th, digital payment company WSPN announced a strategic partnership with Singaporean fintech company Ample FinTech, to jointly promote the widespread application of WUSD in cross-border transactions and consolidate WUSD's leading position in the emerging Stablecoin 2.0 era. WSPN and Ample FinTech will focus on exploring the integration of enterprise-level Web3 payment technology, including innovative solutions such as programmable payments, digital credentials, and tokenized invoices. These technologies will be applied in key areas such as cross-border payments, international trade, cross-border e-commerce, and supply chain finance. This partnership is committed to creating more efficient, secure, and scalable payment solutions, helping enterprises optimize fund efficiency and simplify global financial operational processes.

data shows that in the past hour, the total amount of liquidation on the network reached 171 million US dollars, and the liquidation in 12 hours was 360 million. Among them, the amount of long positions liquidated in one hour is about 24.6522 million US dollars, and the amount of short positions liquidated is about 193 million US dollars.